Tyler Glasnow

Contract Value Index (CVI)

Tyler Glasnow's $27.3M AAV deal lands at a C Contract Value Index, signaling how the Dodgers priced the production curve of an established veteran whose durability track record has consistently discounted his market position. The team is paying full market rate for a starter-caliber arm—Glasnow has posted above-average on-field production this season with 49 strikeouts across seven appearances, the kind of counting metric that ordinarily justifies mid-to-high $20M commitments in the current pitching market—yet the five-year structure carries real downside risk given his age (32) and a well-documented pattern of injury interruptions that the organization itself is already working around via rotation contingency planning. At $27.3M annually, this is precisely what a reliable but not elite free-agent starter commands in today's market; the Dodgers are not overpaying in isolation, but they are also not getting a bargain on a pitcher whose availability and durability profile introduce genuine uncertainty around the contract's back-loaded years. The mediaFraming makes this especially clear: Glasnow's strikeout milestone and professional demeanor are legitimately respected, yet the current back injury and the team's visible depth-building moves (adding other rotation pieces in recent weeks) reflect the organization's implicit acknowledgment that he cannot be counted on as a frontline anchor through 2030. This is fair-value compensation for above-average starter production, which is precisely what a C CVI signals—the Dodgers are not fleecing themselves, but they are also not securing exceptional value given the injury risk and veteran timeline baked into a five-year commitment at this AAV.

Performance Analysis