
#16 SP · Cubs
Height
6'3"
Weight
223 lbs
Age
35
College
Oregon State
Draft
2013, Rd 6, #175
Experience
11 yrs
Bats/Throws
L/L
Grade Matthew Boyd
Your grade joins the crowd-sourced Fan Verdict.
On the field, Matthew Boyd grades out as a middling SP for Cubs (C+ Performance). That places him 140th of 252 graded starting pitchers. The money matches the play — the Contract Value Index lands at C-, fairly priced. The public read is very positive (A Sentiment), drawn from current news and social signal rather than the box score. With 11+ seasons of track record, these grades rest on a deep sample.
| Year | Team | GP | ERA | W-L | K | WHIP | IP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | ![]() | 218 | 4.605216 | 62-78 | 1076 | 1.2769784 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 2026 | ![]() | 5 | 6.00 | 2-1 | 31 | 1.29 | 24.0 | 0 |
| 2025 |
Length
2 years
Total Value
$29.0M
Guaranteed
$17.4M
AAV
$14.5M/yr
On the open market, Matthew Boyd's contract earns a C- Contract Value Index against MLB AAV comps. At $14.5M AAV over two years, Boyd is priced as a mid-rotation starter, but his Opening Day collapse against the Nationals and ensuing injury complications have already undermined the deal's value proposition—he was supposed to stabilize a rotation in need of depth, not become a liability before summer even arrived. The Contract Value Index reflects what should have been a reasonable gamble on an established veteran arm, yet the execution has been so poor and the circumstances so damaging (a non-baseball knee injury that sidelined him) that the Cubs are now actively hedging their rotation around him rather than leaning on him as a cornerstone piece. At 35, Boyd is operating on borrowed time; there's little runway to recover from a bad narrative, and Chicago's recent flurry of left-handed signings—Caleb Thielbar, Ty Blach—signals the front office has already moved on to contingency planning. The two-year structure locks the Cubs into this contract through 2027, a real drag if Boyd remains unable to translate his established-veteran pedigree into serviceable starts. Unless Boyd delivers a sustained stretch of quality outings to rewire the story, this deal will likely end up a sunk cost—a cautionary tale about aging pitchers and the intersection of fragility and unrealistic expectations.
Other same-position deals the Contract Value Index also places in the C band — a quick read on where Matthew's contract sits relative to comparable money.
Matthew Boyd ranks 140th of 252 graded starting pitchers by performance. That slots Matthew between Cam Schlittler (C+) just ahead and Jameson Taillon (C+) just behind.
Graded higher
Cam SchlittlerYankeesC+LaZaro EstradaBlue JaysC+Hunter DobbinsCardinalsC+Graded lower
Jameson TaillonAuto-moderated fan forum with 5-minute speaker turns
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Matthew Boyd is a veteran in his 11th MLB season listed at SP for the Cubs. FanVerdicts covers every MLB player, team, GM, and transaction — and puts your verdict on all of it. Sign in to cast your Fan Verdict on Matthew Boyd, see where the crowd lands, and argue the call. FanVerdicts also brings its own read — performance, sentiment, and Contract Value Index — as one honest input alongside the crowd's. Where FanVerdicts has weighed in so far: Contract Value Index C-, Performance C+, Sentiment A.
The crowd's Fan Verdict moves in real time as fans vote on this profile. FanVerdicts' own read updates as new data lands — performance recalculates when MLB game stats post, sentiment shifts with media coverage and fan discussion, and the Contract Value Index recomputes when contract terms change. Contract details below show the structure (years, total value, average annual value, guarantees) behind the Contract Value Index read.
For league-wide context, the MLB hub has team rankings, GM report cards, the transactions feed, and live scoreboards. The MLB player rankings page sorts every active player by performance and contract value within their position.
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| 31 |
| 3.21 |
| 14-8 |
| 154 |
| 1.09 |
| 179.2 |
| 0 |
| 2024 | ![]() | 8 | 2.72 | 2-2 | 46 | 1.13 | 39.2 | 0 |
| 2023 | ![]() | 15 | 5.45 | 5-5 | 73 | 1.32 | 71.0 | 0 |
| 2022 | ![]() | 10 | 1.35 | 2-0 | 13 | 0.98 | 13.1 | 0 |
| 2021 | ![]() | 15 | 3.89 | 3-8 | 67 | 1.27 | 78.2 | 0 |
| 2020 | ![]() | 12 | 6.71 | 3-7 | 60 | 1.48 | 60.1 | 0 |
| 2019 | ![]() | 32 | 4.56 | 9-12 | 238 | 1.23 | 185.1 | 0 |
| 2018 | ![]() | 31 | 4.39 | 9-13 | 159 | 1.16 | 170.1 | 0 |
| 2017 | ![]() | 26 | 5.27 | 6-11 | 110 | 1.56 | 135.0 | 0 |
| 2016 | ![]() | 20 | 4.53 | 6-5 | 82 | 1.29 | 97.1 | 0 |
| 2015 | ![]() | 2 | 14.85 | 0-2 | 7 | 2.40 | 6.2 | 0 |
| 2015 | ![]() | 11 | 6.57 | 1-4 | 36 | 1.48 | 50.2 | 0 |
| 2015 | 13 | 7.53 | 1-6 | 43 | 1.59 | 57.1 | 0 |
Plate appearances and per-game impact line up to a C+ performance grade for Matthew Boyd. The 35-year-old left-hander is operating as a below-average starter in a rotation dealing with serious depth issues, though his strikeout rate of 31 across five 2026 season appearances demonstrates he retains enough stuff to miss bats when healthy. The fundamental problem isn't velocity or command in isolation—it's durability and availability. Boyd has logged only five games this season with two wins, a production footprint that reflects both his late start to the season and the meniscus tear he suffered in a non-baseball incident that immediately complicated the Cubs' investment in his arrival. The mediaFraming is brutal: he was supposed to be a depth stabilizer for a rotation riding momentum, but an Opening Day collapse against Washington—where he was pulled early in a 10-4 loss—and the subsequent injury reveal have turned him into a cautionary tale about risk management rather than a solution. With Chicago actively signing and acquiring multiple right-handed arms in rapid succession, the front office's implicit message is that Boyd is no longer the answer; he's a hedge. At this stage of his career, coming off a freak injury that sidelined him mid-season, Boyd needs a strong stretch of serviceable starts to move the needle on a narrative that has already shifted toward organizational skepticism.
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