
#15 RP · Reds
Height
6'2"
Weight
208 lbs
Age
35
College
Belmont Abbey
Draft
2013, Rd 10, #297
Experience
9 yrs
Bats/Throws
L/R
Grade Emilio Pagan
Your grade joins the crowd-sourced Fan Verdict.
On the field, Emilio Pagan grades out as an excellent RP for Reds (A- Performance). That places him 86th of 389 graded relief pitchers. The contract is harder to defend: the Contract Value Index calls it good value (B), with the cost outrunning the output. The public read is negative (D- Sentiment), drawn from current news and social signal rather than the box score.
| Year | Team | GP | ERA | W-L | K | WHIP | IP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | ![]() | 492 | 3.7336748 | 30-28 | 592 | 1.0793854 | 0.0 | 71 |
| 2026 | ![]() | 15 | 6.43 | 2-1 | 11 | 1.43 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 2025 |
Length
2 years
Total Value
$20.0M
Guaranteed
$12.0M
AAV
$10.0M/yr
Per-game impact for Emilio Pagan pencils out to a A- performance grade. At 35, Pagan remains an above-average closer operating at a level well above replacement-tier relief, evidenced by his 2026 season statistics of 2 wins and 11 strikeouts across 15 games—a workload consistent with a high-leverage role despite the injury derailment. His strikeout rate represents his sharpest weapon in closing situations, the kind of swing-and-miss stuff that matters most when outs are scarce. The critical vulnerability here is durability: a hamstring injury has now pulled him from availability in the season's most critical stretch, and at this stage of his career, soft-tissue injuries carry real questions about whether his explosiveness will fully return. What makes the sentiment disconnect so stark is that Pagan's on-field performance grade sits firmly in elite territory while the media narrative has been consumed entirely by injury timelines and recovery speculation—the Reds' subsequent bullpen signings (Chase Petty, Rhett Lowder, Yunior Marte among others) signal that Cincinnati isn't waiting on his rehabilitation. With the regular season holding 107 days remaining and the Reds sitting at 32-35, Pagan's window to prove his durability and re-establish closer confidence is rapidly narrowing; the gap between what he's shown on the mound and what the public believes he can do going forward is now the story, not his actual stuff.
Other same-position deals the Contract Value Index also places in the B band — a quick read on where Emilio's contract sits relative to comparable money.
Emilio Pagan ranks 86th of 389 graded relief pitchers by performance. That slots Emilio between Keegan Thompson (A-) just ahead and Brycen Mautz (B+) just behind.
Graded higher
Keegan ThompsonRockiesA-Pete FairbanksMarlinsA-Josh EknessMarlinsA-Graded lower
Brycen MautzCardinalsAuto-moderated fan forum with 5-minute speaker turns
Loading discussion...
Emilio Pagan is a veteran in his 9th MLB season listed at RP for the Reds. FanVerdicts covers every MLB player, team, GM, and transaction — and puts your verdict on all of it. Sign in to cast your Fan Verdict on Emilio Pagan, see where the crowd lands, and argue the call. FanVerdicts also brings its own read — performance, sentiment, and Contract Value Index — as one honest input alongside the crowd's. Where FanVerdicts has weighed in so far: Contract Value Index B, Performance A-, Sentiment D-.
The crowd's Fan Verdict moves in real time as fans vote on this profile. FanVerdicts' own read updates as new data lands — performance recalculates when MLB game stats post, sentiment shifts with media coverage and fan discussion, and the Contract Value Index recomputes when contract terms change. Contract details below show the structure (years, total value, average annual value, guarantees) behind the Contract Value Index read.
For league-wide context, the MLB hub has team rankings, GM report cards, the transactions feed, and live scoreboards. The MLB player rankings page sorts every active player by performance and contract value within their position.
![]() |
| 70 |
| 2.88 |
| 2-4 |
| 81 |
| 0.92 |
| 68.2 |
| 32 |
| 2024 | ![]() | 38 | 4.50 | 4-5 | 44 | 1.34 | 38.0 | 1 |
| 2023 | ![]() | 66 | 2.99 | 5-2 | 65 | 0.95 | 69.1 | 1 |
| 2022 | ![]() | 59 | 4.43 | 4-6 | 84 | 1.37 | 63.0 | 9 |
| 2021 | ![]() | 67 | 4.83 | 4-3 | 69 | 1.17 | 63.1 | 0 |
| 2020 | ![]() | 22 | 4.50 | 0-1 | 23 | 1.05 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 2019 | ![]() | 66 | 2.31 | 4-2 | 96 | 0.83 | 70.0 | 20 |
| 2018 | ![]() | 55 | 4.35 | 3-1 | 63 | 1.19 | 62.0 | 0 |
| 2017 | ![]() | 34 | 3.22 | 2-3 | 56 | 0.93 | 50.1 | 0 |
The public perception around Emilio Pagan has taken a sharp hit, and the sentiment grade reflects genuine alarm rather than overreaction. The entire recent media cycle has been consumed by injury coverage — beat writers are tracking his hamstring timeline and durability questions, not his closing performances, and fan confidence in a $10M closer who was carted off the field has understandably cratered. What makes this particularly frustrating is the disconnect from his actual on-field work: his performance grade sits at a strong A-, meaning the concern isn't about what Pagan has done but whether he can continue doing it. The Reds' response has been telling — Cincinnati moved quickly to add bullpen arms, bringing in Caleb Ferguson and Chase Petty within days of the injury, signaling that the front office isn't waiting around on a 4-to-8-week recovery timeline for its closer. At 35, Pagan's age only amplifies the durability narrative; hamstring injuries at this stage of a career invite legitimate questions about whether a return will come with the same explosiveness in high-leverage situations. The one silver lining is that sentiment has been trending upward from a floor-level grade, suggesting the worst of the panic may have already been priced in. But until Pagan is back on the mound and converting saves, the narrative around him belongs to the training room, not the highlight reel.
Peers ranked by Performance grade among players at the same position. Tap any name for their full profile.