Height
6'2"
Weight
200 lbs
Age
32
College
LSU
Draft
2014, Rd 1, #7
Experience
11 yrs
Bats/Throws
R/R
Fan Verdict
Grade this player:
Career StatsC+
| Year | Team | GP | ERA | W-L | K | WHIP | IP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career |  | 285 | 3.829415 | 109-89 | 1876 | 1.1488246 | 0.0 | 0 |
Current Contract
Length
7 years
Total Value
$172.0M
Guaranteed
$103.2M
AAV
$24.6M/yr
Contract Value Index (CVI)
Aaron Nola's seven-year, $24.6M AAV extension earns a brutal F CVI, representing one of baseball's worst value propositions for a starting pitcher entering his age-32 season. Despite flashing seven strikeouts in his season debut and maintaining C+ production levels, the contract fundamentally overpays for a veteran whose recent analysis reveals "persistent issues that continue to plague" his performance. At $172 million total, Philadelphia locked themselves into paying ace money for what amounts to a mid-rotation starter whose troubling patterns keep resurfacing according to media coverage. The timing couldn't be worse — signing a 32-year-old pitcher through age 38 when his best years are clearly behind him, especially one whose significant contract "carries meaningful expectations for impact production" that his current trajectory suggests he won't meet. While his All-MLB Second Team selection in 2022 and positive World Baseball Classic experience representing Italy show he still has moments of effectiveness, the massive financial commitment to a declining veteran represents questionable front office judgment. This deal will likely age poorly as Nola enters the back half of his thirties, making it a textbook example of why teams shouldn't chase past performance with long-term money.
Performance Analysis
Aaron Nola grades as a near-elite performer among MLB starting pitchers, earning a A- Performance grade. He carries a 3.83 ERA (near the league average of 4.20) and a 1.15 WHIP across 1715.2 innings pitched with a 9.8 K/9 rate. His 109-89 record provides context on team support and run prevention. A 9.8 K/9 rate indicates above-average swing-and-miss stuff. As a prime-age veteran at 32, Aaron is a key contributor for the Phillies. A 285-game sample provides high confidence in this grade.
Recent Games
| Date | OPP | Result | AB | H | R | HR | RBI | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 4/8 | @ SF | L 0-5 | - | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
| Fri, 4/3 | @ COL | W 10-1 | - | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
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