Buffalo Bills sign OLB Bradley Chubb

Bradley Chubb's signing earns a D+ Contract Value Index (CVI) — a below-market deal that reflects genuine injury risk and declining production efficiency rather than opportunistic veteran depth. At $14.5M AAV over three years, the Bills are betting on a pass-rusher who hasn't demonstrated elite consistency since his peak, paying third-tier edge money for what amounts to a depth-and-rotation asset. The contract structure rewards patience on a player coming off a significant health hiatus, but the arithmetic doesn't favor Buffalo: $43.5M committed to someone who'll need to prove he can stay on the field and maintain disruptive play at a level that justifies starter money. The CVI dip reflects the fundamental tension — a team in playoff position (currently the #6 seed in the AFC East at 12-5) is gambling on health and resurgence rather than acquiring proven, immediate impact. Chubb has the pedigree to justify the risk, but unless he returns to elite pass-rush rates, this will rank among Buffalo's more speculative investments in an offseason where cap allocation matters. For a contender in preseason positioning with 91 days until the regular season kicks off, this is the kind of "hope he's healthy" move that can backfire if the edge class doesn't perform as projected.