Nick Chubb

Career StatsB+

Year	Team	GP	Yards	TD	YPC
Career		100	7,349	54	5.0
2025		15	506	3	4.1
2024		8	332	3	3.3
2023		2

Current Contract

Contract Value Index (CVI)

Salary-cap math on Nick Chubb's contract works out to a B Contract Value Index given the dead-cap exposure and term. At $2.5M AAV on a one-year deal, Chubb represents the rare backfield arrangement where salary and production align favorably—his B+ performance grade on modest counting stats (67 receiving yards across 15 games in the 2025 season) means Houston is getting above-average play at a replacement-level price point, the kind of asymmetry that produces solid contract value. For a 30-year-old established veteran eight years into his NFL career, the $2.5M salary sits well below market rate for any meaningful workload, which ordinarily signals front-office confidence; instead, the Texans' recent roster moves—signings of impact defenders and offensive talent paired with cuts of depth pieces—paint a picture of organizational indifference toward his future, suggesting Houston may view him as fungible depth rather than a locked-in contributor. The one-year term eliminates long-term dead-cap risk and preserves cap flexibility, a prudent hedge given the media narrative of potential exit and the Texans' apparent pivot toward younger talent. Unless Houston commits to Chubb with a contract extension or clear role definition, his Contract Value Index remains anchored to an uncomfortable middle ground: cheap enough to justify roster retention, yet sufficiently devalued by organizational uncertainty that his 2026 viability hinges entirely on whether the team decides to build around him or move on.

Contracts in the Same Value Band

Other same-position deals the Contract Value Index also places in the B band — a quick read on where Nick's contract sits relative to comparable money.

Performance Analysis

Nick Chubb, a former second-round standout and one of Cleveland's all-time great rushers, now enters a new chapter with the Houston Texans at age 30. Earning a B+ grade overall, Chubb remains a credible contributor despite a recent performance dip that doesn't fully reflect his decorated career résumé. His body of work places him firmly among respected veteran backs, even as this current season represents a quieter stretch. On the ground, Chubb is posting 4.15 yards per carry, essentially matching the NFL average of 4.11, showing he still processes contact and finds lanes efficiently. His 33.7 rushing yards per game outpaces the league average of 22.39, suggesting he's producing when given opportunities. The concern is his scoring rate — 0.20 rush touchdowns per game trails the NFL average of 0.29, raising questions about his goal-line and red-zone effectiveness this season. His season trend tells a cautionary story, sliding from a C+ in 2023 to a C in 2024 and further to a C- in 2025, indicating declining impact across three consecutive seasons. At 30, with mileage from a serious knee injury in his past, Chubb's ceiling may now be a reliable change-of-pace or complementary back rather than a featured workhorse. Watch whether Houston expands his role or gradually transitions him toward a rotational, situational contributor heading into 2026.

How Nick Compares at the Position

Nick Chubb ranks 21st of 175 graded running backs by performance. That slots Nick between Tony Pollard (B+) just ahead and Travis Etienne Jr. (B+) just behind.

Current Sentiment

Coverage volume around Nick Chubb produces a C+ sentiment grade in the current window. The narrative surrounding the veteran running back has fundamentally shifted from celebration of his contributions to institutional indifference, with the dominant storyline centering on organizational uncertainty and the Texans' apparent pivot toward younger talent—a read reinforced by Houston's acquisition of David Montgomery and aggressive offseason roster moves that conspicuously exclude Chubb from the forward-building vision. His on-field performance hasn't helped his case: the 2025 season produced modest counting stats (67 receiving yards across 15 games), leaving him vulnerable to the media's larger thesis that he's no longer central to the offense, though isolated bright spots—a 30-yard carry (his longest since 2022) and a 27-yard touchdown against Baltimore—have earned nostalgic ink without materially shifting the exit narrative. The recent team direction tells the story: Houston has signed multiple impact players (Derrick Graham, K.C. Ossai, Jha'Quan Jackson) while cutting depth pieces, painting a portrait of a front office building forward, not backward, and Chubb's $2.5M salary and 30-year-old age make him an easy candidate to jettison if the Texans choose to do so. At this point, absent a clear organizational commitment, Chubb inhabits uncomfortable terrain between replacement-level contributor and organizational afterthought—the headlines range from "Trending Toward Exit" to "Remains Without Team," suggesting the media has already written the ending to this chapter in Houston.