Jimmy Butler III Grades & Analysis — SF | Golden State Warriors

Height

6'6"

Weight

230 lbs

Age

College

Marquette

Experience

14 yrs

C+

Top 48% — above average

CVI

A-

Top 13%

Sentiment

A+

Top 3%Impact

Impact

Top 9%Role

Role

N/A

Fan Verdict

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The Verdict on Jimmy, in One Read

On the field, Jimmy Butler III grades out as an excellent SF for Golden State Warriors (A+ Impact). That places him 9th of 119 graded small forwards. In his on-court role, the grade is excellent (A Role), reflecting how he produces relative to others at his position. The contract is harder to defend: the Contract Value Index calls it fairly priced (C+), with the cost outrunning the output. The public read is very positive (A- Sentiment), drawn from current news and social signal rather than the box score. With 14+ seasons of track record, these grades rest on a deep sample.

Year	GP	PPG	RPG	APG	SPG	BPG	FG%	3PT%	FT%
Career	907	20.0	5.6	4.9	1.4	0.2	51.9%	33.0%	84.4%
2025-26	38	20.0	5.6	4.9	1.4	0.2	51.9%	37.6%	86.4%
2024-25	55	17.5	5.4	5.4	1.4	0.3	50.4%	30.8%	84.2%
2023-24	60	20.8	5.3	5.0	1.3	0.3	49.9%	41.4%	85.8%
2022-23	64	22.9	5.9	5.3	1.8	0.3	53.9%	35.0%	85.0%
2021-22	57	21.4	5.9	5.5	1.6	0.5	48.0%	23.3%	87.0%
2020-21	52	21.5	6.9	7.1	2.1	0.3	49.7%	24.5%	86.3%
2019-20	58	19.9	6.7	6.0	1.8	0.6	45.5%	24.4%	83.4%
2018-19	65	18.7	5.3	4.0	1.9	0.6	46.2%	34.7%	85.5%
2017-18	59	22.2	5.3	4.9	2.0	0.4	47.4%	35.0%	85.4%
2016-17	76	23.9	6.2	5.5	1.9	0.4	45.5%	36.7%	86.5%
2015-16	67	20.9	5.3	4.8	1.6	0.6	45.4%	31.2%	83.2%
2014-15	65	20.0	5.8	3.3	1.8	0.6	46.2%	37.8%	83.4%
2013-14	67	13.1	4.9	2.6	1.9	0.5	39.7%	28.3%	76.9%
2012-13	82	8.6	4.0	1.4	1.0	0.4	46.7%	38.1%	80.3%
2011-12	42	2.6	1.3	0.3	0.3	0.1	40.5%	18.2%	76.8%

Season	GP	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	Grade
2025-26	38	20.0	5.6	4.9	51.9%	A A Top 9%
2024-25	55	17.5	5.4	5.4	50.4%	A A Top 9%
2023-24	60	20.8	5.3	5.0	49.9%	A A Top 9%
2022-23	64	22.9	5.9	5.3	53.9%	A A Top 9%
2021-22	57	21.4	5.9	5.5	48.0%	A A Top 9%
2020-21	52	21.5	6.9	7.1	49.7%	A A Top 9%
2019-20	58	19.9	6.7	6.0	45.5%	A A Top 9%
2018-19	65	18.7	5.3	4.0	46.2%	A A Top 9%
2017-18	59	22.2	5.3	4.9	47.4%	A A Top 9%
2016-17	76	23.9	6.2	5.5	45.5%	A A Top 9%
2015-16	67	20.9	5.3	4.8	45.4%	A A Top 9%
2014-15	65	20.0	5.8	3.3	46.2%	A A Top 9%
2013-14	67	13.1	4.9	2.6	39.7%	B B Top 29%
2012-13	82	8.6	4.0	1.4	46.7%	C+ C+ Top 48% — above average
2011-12	42	2.6	1.3	0.3	40.5%	D- D- Bottom 12%

Contract Value Index (CVI)

C+

Fair Value

OverpayFair ValueGreat Value

Jimmy Butler III's $54.1M deal lands at a C+ Contract Value Index, signaling how Golden State weighed the NBA cap math against the durability risk that now defines his value proposition. The 2025-26 season delivered a respectable 20.0 PPG on 38 games played—solid production from a franchise cornerstone—yet the stat line itself understates the availability question looming over this contract. At $54.1M annually on a two-year deal, Butler commands max-tier money for a 36-year-old veteran entering the back half of his career, a pricing structure that made sense when he signed but has grown increasingly tenuous as his injury history has shifted from occasional to recurring. His résumé—anchored by All-NBA 2nd Team honors as recently as 2023, an Eastern Conference Finals MVP, and five All-NBA selections spanning nearly a decade—justifies a premium for a longtime veteran, yet the CVI grade reflects the hard truth that even elite pedigree cannot fully offset the intersection of age, durability concerns, and the Warriors' demonstrated capacity to function without him on the floor. Media coverage has remained respectfully skeptical rather than hostile, pivoting the narrative toward whether Butler can reclaim All-Star form rather than whether he belongs on this roster, a framing that acknowledges his credibility while flagging real questions about fit and fit-to-salary in the final two years of this contract.

Performance Analysis

#9 of 119 Small Forwards

FCA+

Jimmy Butler III is playing at an elite level this season, earning an A Performance grade. Among NBA small forwards, he's producing at an All-Star or All-NBA caliber. He's averaging 20.0 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 4.9 assists through 907 games — carrying a significant offensive load. Jimmy's strongest area is PPG at 20.0, which compares favorably to the small forward median of 15.0. The biggest area for growth is RPG at 5.6 (small forward median: 5.0). Among 119 NBA small forwards graded this season, Jimmy ranks 9th. Jimmy is a cornerstone of the Golden State Warriors' roster and is performing at a level that warrants his place among the league's best.

Current Sentiment

A-

Very Positive

NegativeNeutralPositive

Jimmy Butler III enters the 2025-26 season with an A- sentiment grade, reflecting cautious optimism tempered by legitimate injury concerns. The media narrative around Butler remains largely positive despite his torn ACL rehabilitation, as his established reputation as an elite two-way player and proven playoff performer provides significant credibility with analysts and fans alike. His public commitment to recovery and visible presence with the Warriors organization during road trips has helped maintain goodwill, though underlying trade speculation continues to create some friction in the coverage. Butler's track record of multiple All-NBA selections and that memorable Eastern Conference Finals MVP performance gives him substantial benefit of the doubt as he works through this recovery process. The dominant storyline heading into next season centers on whether he can return to All-Star form post-ACL, with media perception likely to shift dramatically based on both his health timeline and on-court production once he returns.

News: 5FanVerdicts Analysis: 1

Jimmy Butler III

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The Verdict on Jimmy, in One Read

Career StatsA

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Contract Value Index (CVI)

Performance Analysis

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