Jayson Tatum Grades & Analysis — PF | Boston Celtics

Height

6'8"

Weight

210 lbs

Age

College

Duke

Experience

8 yrs

Bottom 5%

CVI

A+

Top 3%

Sentiment

B+

Top 20%Impact

Impact

B-

Top 38%Role

Role

N/A

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The Verdict on Jayson, in One Read

On the field, Jayson Tatum grades out as a strong PF for Boston Celtics (B+ Impact). That places him 32nd of 84 graded power forwards. In his on-court role, the grade is strong (B- Role), reflecting how he produces relative to others at his position. The contract is harder to defend: the Contract Value Index calls it a significant overpay (F), with the cost outrunning the output. The public read is very positive (A+ Sentiment), drawn from current news and social signal rather than the box score.

Year	GP	PPG	RPG	APG	SPG	BPG	FG%	3PT%	FT%
Career	592	19.1	8.9	3.3	1.1	0.0	38.8%	36.9%	84.0%
2025-26	8	19.1	8.9	3.3	1.1	0.0	38.8%	29.3%	85.2%
2024-25	8	28.1	11.5	5.4	2.1	0.8	42.3%	37.2%	88.9%
2023-24	19	25.0	9.7	6.3	1.1	0.7	42.7%	28.3%	86.1%
2022-23	20	27.1	10.5	5.3	1.1	1.1	45.8%	32.3%	87.6%
2021-22	24	25.6	6.7	6.2	1.2	0.9	42.6%	39.3%	80.0%
2020-21	5	30.6	5.8	4.6	1.2	1.6	42.3%	38.9%	91.8%
2019-20	17	25.7	10.0	5.0	1.0	1.2	43.4%	37.3%	81.3%
2018-19	9	15.2	6.7	1.9	1.1	0.8	43.8%	32.3%	74.4%
2017-18	19	18.5	4.4	2.7	1.2	0.5	47.1%	32.4%	84.5%

Season	GP	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	Grade
2025-26	8	19.1	8.9	3.3	38.8%	B+ B+ Top 20%
2024-25	8	28.1	11.5	5.4	42.3%	A- A- Top 13%
2023-24	19	25.0	9.7	6.3	42.7%	B+ B+ Top 20%
2022-23	20	27.1	10.5	5.3	45.8%	A- A- Top 13%
2021-22	24	25.6	6.7	6.2	42.6%	B B Top 29%
2020-21	5	30.6	5.8	4.6	42.3%	B- B- Top 38%
2019-20	17	25.7	10.0	5.0	43.4%	B- B- Top 38%
2018-19	9	15.2	6.7	1.9	43.8%	C C Around average
2017-18	19	18.5	4.4	2.7	47.1%	C C Around average

Date	OPP	Result	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	FG	3PT	+/-
Fri, 5/1	@ PHI	L 93-106	29	17	11	3	0	0	6-13	2-6	-11
Tue, 4/28	vs PHI	L 97-113	41	24	16	4	3	0	8-19	4-12	-9
Sun, 4/26	@ PHI	W 128-96	35	30	7	11	0	0	8-16	5-10	+25
Fri, 4/24	@ PHI	W 108-100	42	25	5	7	1	0	9-17	5-9	+2
Tue, 4/21	vs PHI	L 97-111	39	19	14	9	1	0	8-19	2-8	+1
Sun, 4/19	vs PHI	W 123-91	32	25	11	7	2	0	9-17	1-7	+20
Thu, 4/9	@ NYK	L 106-112	40	24	13	8	1	1	7-22	2-10	-16

Contract Value Index (CVI)

Overpay

OverpayFair ValueGreat Value

Jayson Tatum delivered enough rotation-tier impact to earn a F Contract Value Index against the NBA pay band. At $54.1M AAV on a five-year deal, Tatum's contract sits at the apex of NBA salaries—a tier typically reserved for players generating elite, consistent on-court production. His 2025–26 season numbers of 19.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG, and 3.3 APG across eight games, coupled with a C- performance grade, reveal a significant gap between his pay scale and his current output, particularly when injury has limited his availability in a playoff window. For an established veteran who has earned four consecutive All-NBA First Team selections through 2025, this represents a sharp departure from his historical production profile, and the CVI accordingly reflects the mismatch between supermax-tier compensation and diminished on-court return. The Celtics' recent moves—low-cost signings and depth conversions—suggest a roster already constrained by Tatum's salary commitment while the franchise attempts to maximize its remaining championship window. Boston's unwavering public commitment to building around him mitigates the structural cap risk, but the contract's five-year term locks the franchise into this pay-production imbalance through 2030–31, leaving little margin for sustained underperformance without roster flexibility consequences.

Performance Analysis

C-

#32 of 84 Power Forwards

FCA+

Jayson Tatum earns a C- Performance grade, indicating below-average production relative to other NBA power forwards this season. This season, Jayson is putting up 19.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game across 592 games. Jayson's strongest area is RPG at 8.9, which compares favorably to the power forward median of 5.0. The biggest area for growth is APG at 3.3 (power forward median: 4.0). Among 84 NBA power forwards graded this season, Jayson ranks 32nd.

Current Sentiment

A+

Very Positive

NegativeNeutralPositive

The talk around Jayson Tatum this stretch nets a A+ sentiment grade. Despite a turbulent end to the 2025-26 playoffs and a recent knee injury that sidelined him for stretches, the media and fan ecosystem remain firmly bullish on his standing as an elite franchise cornerstone—a narrative anchored by four consecutive All-NBA First Team selections from 2022 through 2025 and his proven All-Star caliber that has earned him the organizational and public benefit of the doubt. There's a meaningful disconnect between his on-court production this season (19.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 3.3 APG across just 8 games in the 2025-26 season) and the strength of sentiment around him, which speaks to how thoroughly his résumé and star status have insulated his narrative from what could have been a far more damaging postseason exit. Recent headlines underscore the Celtics' unwavering commitment to building around him—from organizational focus on roster reinforcement to human-interest angles highlighting maternal support during his injury recovery—signaling that the franchise views the championship window as very much open. The sentiment trend has moved upward over the last 30 days despite the health concerns, which tells you that the public is doubling down on Tatum as a cornerstone talent rather than reconsidering his standing; the injury is framed as a temporary setback, not a structural question.

News: 5FanVerdicts Analysis: 1

Jayson Tatum

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The Verdict on Jayson, in One Read

Career StatsC-

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Contract Value Index (CVI)

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