Luis Robert Jr.

Contract Value Index (CVI)

The Mets' six-year, $49.8M commitment to Luis Robert Jr. earns a C CVI, reflecting a contract that carries significant risk despite the center fielder's undeniable upside. At $8.3M AAV, the deal prices Robert as a serviceable starter rather than the franchise-caliber talent his peak flashes suggest he could become, which initially seems team-friendly for a player who posted a 138 wRC+ as recently as 2020. However, Robert's injury history is extensive and concerning — he's missed substantial time in three of the past four seasons, raising legitimate questions about his ability to stay on the field consistently enough to justify even this moderate financial commitment. Center field remains a premium defensive position where elite defenders command top dollar, but Robert's defensive metrics have fluctuated wildly, and his offensive production has been maddeningly inconsistent when healthy. The Mets are essentially betting that a change of scenery and their development infrastructure can unlock the All-Star caliber player Robert showed glimpses of being, but this C-grade CVI reflects the reality that they're paying starter money for a player whose injury concerns and inconsistent production make him closer to a high-upside gamble than a reliable building block. For a franchise trying to maximize their competitive window, this represents a reasonable swing on talent, but one that could easily backfire if Robert's durability issues persist.

Performance Analysis