Juan Soto

Contract Value Index (CVI)

Juan Soto's 15-year, $51M AAV contract with the Mets earns a D- CVI, reflecting the massive financial risk despite his elite A+ performance grade. The 27-year-old right fielder has established himself as one of baseball's premier hitters, collecting six Silver Slugger awards and multiple All-MLB First Team selections over his eight-year career, proving his ability to consistently produce at an elite level. While his current production absolutely justifies star-level compensation, the half-billion-dollar commitment represents an enormous gamble on sustained excellence deep into his thirties, particularly for a position where offensive decline can be swift and unforgiving. At his current career stage as an established veteran, Soto is theoretically entering his prime years, but the 15-year term extends well beyond any reasonable projection window for maintaining this level of production. The media's optimistic framing around his role as a cornerstone of the Mets' competitive window reflects confidence in his star power, though the contract's massive scope creates unprecedented pressure to deliver championship-caliber results. This deal essentially bets the franchise's financial future on Soto remaining an elite performer through age 41, making it a classic example of paying for past performance while hoping it translates to future value.

Fan & Media Sentiment